It's a good time for will it?

It's a good time for will it?
NBC33 Staff
Weather Talk

POSTED: Monday, January 20, 2014 - 4:19pm

UPDATED: Monday, January 20, 2014 - 6:57pm

So far, 2014 has been a cold one, but we have yet to combine it with precipitation, aka sneaux. The last measurable snow in Baton Rouge was on February 12, 2010. 

On average, Baton Rouge sees an accumulating snow event roughly every six years. This is year-four of no snow, so time is increasingly on south Louisiana's side.

Looking back to Baton Rouge airport's daily climate data (above), we can see that the second half of January is a prime-time to expect snow. Since 1892, there have been 28 days of snow measured between January 15-31. 

This year, January has recorded only two days of highs in the 70s (not including today), and the rest with afternoons in the 40s, 50s, and 60s. According to the National Weather Service in New Orleans, we have averaged a daily temperature, combining the high and low, around 46º; this is nearly five degrees below normal.

Temperatures will fall back to where we have seen them all month, after a cold front passes the Captiol area Monday night.

Highs Tuesday through the rest of the week, including this weekend, will only warm into the 40s and 50s, while morning lows drop into the 20s and 30s a few days.

Now to the forecast most of you want to hear...Could south Louisiana see winter weather at the end of the week?

With more blasts of cold air plummeting into south Louisiana, weather models are hinting at some form of wintery precipitation.

Monday morning forecast discussions from the National Weather Service in New Orleans and Lake Charles both mention the chance of seeing a wintery mix. Although, along with us in the Stormtracker33 weather center, they are both weary of inputing it into the forecast...yet.

"The timing of the possible precipitation with the onset of the very cold air will be crucial with forecast thickniess progs indicating the possibility of winter-type precipitation across much of the area for Friday," said the NWS Lake Charles discussion. "However, this early in the game discretion appears to be the better part of valor and will leave a s a cold rain for now despite temps Friday morning likely in the lower-30s."

In a similar way, the New Orleans weather service also mentions the American weather model is "more aggressive with cold air and puts the CWA (area) in a position to where a mixture of freezing precipitation would be possible from I-12 and northward." 

It is still TOO SOON to pin-down a "Yes" or "No" in regards to seeing any "white stuff," but Stormtracker33 Meteorologist Jesse Gunkel and Meteorologsist Jesse Vinturella, as well as myself, Meteorologist Kyle Myers, will continue to track the latest weather model information the next few days, and keep the forecast updated.

To say the least, it will be an interesting one to monitor this week.

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