T.S. Bret not a threat, but new development possible
POSTED: Wednesday, July 20, 2011 - 7:24am
UPDATED: Wednesday, July 20, 2011 - 2:03pm
STORMTRACKER 33 — No changes to report with Tropical Storm Bret. The system is looking rather pathetic on satellite imagery as it moves to the NE. This system should weaken rapidly as it makes its way into cooler waters and an unfavorable shear environment.
There is a new area the NHC is tracking, and they put this area at only 30% of becoming a tropical or subtropical cyclone over the next 48 hours. Even if this system does develop, it will head out to sea as a "fish storm" and not affect anyone.
The other area that bears watching over the next few days is a tropical wave in the Eastern Atlantic that some models are developing near the Greater Antilles in the next 5-7 days. Notice the model graphic below, the CMC, which is the Canadian Model, is developing a system just to the NE of Cuba in about 6 days. The only drawback would be that the CMC often over exaggerates the development of systems. Regardless, it is an area that we will continue to track for the possibility of tropical cyclone formation.