2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season begins tomorrow
POSTED: Tuesday, May 31, 2011 - 2:00pm
UPDATED: Monday, June 6, 2011 - 1:21pm
STORMTRACKER33 — The 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season begins tomorrow, and some models are already starting to pick up on a possible disturbance trying to develop. There is an abundance of moisture and very warm water temperatures located near the western caribbean, and so far any tropical cyclone formation has been inhibited by strong upper level wind shear. Strong wind shear blows off the tops of developing thunderstorms and disrupts the process of tropical cyclone development. The shear is forecast to weaken significantly which may make it possible for a tropical depression to form. Any disturbance that may develop is still 5-6 days away. It could potentially dump huge amounts of rainfall on residents of Jamaica, Cuba, the Cayman Islands, Haiti, Honduras, and Nicaragua. The image below shows one of the models 6 days (144 hours) from now. You can see a potential tropical cyclone located near Cuba.