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National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks
Updated: 26 sec ago

NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 7, 2014 - 3:40am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT SEP 6 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Norbert, located offshore of the west-central coast of the Baja
California peninsula.

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered about 1200 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental
conditions are expected to become more conducive for some
development of this system by mid-week while this disturbance
remains nearly stationary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is expected to form south or southwest of
the southern coast of Mexico by the early or middle part of next
week. Environmental conditions in this region should be conducive
for gradual development at that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Kimberlain


NHC Atlantic Outlook

September 7, 2014 - 1:02am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN SEP 7 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An extensive area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms is
associated with a large tropical wave that has recently emerged
off of the coast of Africa just west of Guinea. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development
of this disturbance during the next several days while it moves
westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

2. Shower activity has diminished in association with a small low
pressure system located several hundred miles west of the Cape Verde
Islands. This system is moving into an unfavorable environment, and
development appears unlikely during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

3. A weak trough of low pressure over Georgia is producing disorganized
cloudiness and showers from north Florida to the coastal waters of
the Carolinas. Development of this system is unlikely while it
drifts northeastward over the coastal sections of Georgia and the
Carolinas during the next couple of days. After that time, this low
is expected to merge with a frontal zone over the western Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Forecaster Stewart


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 7, 2014 - 12:54am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT SEP 6 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Norbert, located offshore of the west-central coast of the Baja
California peninsula.

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered about 1200 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental
conditions are expected to become more conducive for some
development of this system by mid-week while this disturbance
remains nearly stationary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is expected to form south or southwest of
the southern coast of Mexico by the early or middle part of next
week. Environmental conditions in this region should be conducive
for gradual development at that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Kimberlain


NHC Atlantic Outlook

September 7, 2014 - 12:44am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN SEP 7 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An extensive area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms is
associated with a large tropical wave that has recently emerged
off of the coast of Africa just west of Guinea. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development
of this disturbance during the next several days while it moves
westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

2. Shower activity has diminished in association with a small low
pressure system located several hundred miles west of the Cape Verde
Islands. This system is moving into an unfavorable environment, and
development appears unlikely during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

3. A weak trough of low pressure over Georgia is producing disorganized
cloudiness and showers from north Florida to the coastal waters of
the Carolinas. Development of this system is unlikely while it
drifts northeastward over the coastal sections of Georgia and the
Carolinas during the next couple of days. After that time, this low
is expected to merge with a frontal zone over the western Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Forecaster Stewart


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 6, 2014 - 9:33pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT SEP 6 2014

Corrected to describe existing disturbance first.

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Norbert, located a short distance offshore of Baja California Sur.

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorm centered about 1200 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental
conditions are expected to become more conducive for some
development of this system by mid-week while it remains nearly
stationary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is expected to form south or southwest of
the southern coast of Mexico by the early or middle part of next
week. Environmental conditions in this region should be conducive
for gradual development at that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Blake


NHC Atlantic Outlook

September 6, 2014 - 7:00pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A weak trough of low pressure over Georgia is producing disorganized
cloudiness and showers from north Florida to the coastal waters of
the Carolinas. Development of this system is unlikely while it
drifts northeastward over the coastal sections of Georgia, South
Carolina, and North Carolina during the next couple of days. After
that time, this low is expected to merge with a frontal zone over
the western Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. Shower activity has changed little in association with an area of
low pressure located several hundred miles west of the Cape Verde
Islands. This system is moving into an unfavorable environment
during the next several days, and development is not anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

3. A large area of showers and thunderstorms near the west coast of
Africa is associated with a strong tropical wave. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of
this system early next week while it moves toward the west or west-
northwest over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Blake


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 6, 2014 - 6:52pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT SEP 6 2014

Corrected to describe existing disturbance first.

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Norbert, located a short distance offshore of Baja California Sur.

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorm centered about 1200 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental
conditions are expected to become more conducive for some
development of this system by mid-week while it remains nearly
stationary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is expected to form south or southwest of
the southern coast of Mexico by the early or middle part of next
week. Environmental conditions in this region should be conducive
for gradual development at that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Blake


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 6, 2014 - 3:38pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT SEP 6 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Norbert, located a short distance offshore of the Baja California
Sur.

1. An area of low pressure is expected to form south or southwest of
the southern coast of Mexico by the early or middle part of next
week. Environmental conditions in this region should be conducive
for gradual development at that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Kimberlain


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 6, 2014 - 12:45pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT SEP 6 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Norbert, located a short distance offshore of the Baja California
Sur.

1. An area of low pressure is expected to form south or southwest of
the southern coast of Mexico by the early or middle part of next
week. Environmental conditions in this region should be conducive
for gradual development at that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Kimberlain


NHC Atlantic Outlook

September 6, 2014 - 12:44pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A weak trough of low pressure over Georgia is producing disorganized
cloudiness and showers from north Florida to the coastal waters of
the Carolinas. Development of this system is unlikely while it
drifts northeastward over the southeastern United States during the
next couple of days. After that time, this low is expected to
merge with a frontal zone over the western Atlantic Ocean and
development is unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
several hundred miles west of the Cape Verde Islands shows some
signs of organization. However, this system is moving into an
unfavorable environment during the next several days, and
development is not anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

3. A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
by late Sunday. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system early next week
while it moves toward the west or west-northwest over the eastern
tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Kimberlain


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 6, 2014 - 9:34am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT SEP 6 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Norbert, located a short distance offshore of the Baja California
Sur.

1. An area of low pressure is expected to form south or southwest of
the southern coast of Mexico by the early or middle part of next
week. Environmental conditions in this region should be conducive
for gradual development throughout this time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Kimberlain


NHC Atlantic Outlook

September 6, 2014 - 7:00am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A weak area of low pressure near the coast of Georgia continues to
produce disorganized cloudiness and showers, mainly over the
Atlantic coastal waters. Development of this system appears
unlikely while it drifts northeastward over the southeastern United
States during the next couple of days. After that time, this
system could merge with a frontal zone over the western Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure a few
hundred miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has increased
and become a little better organized this morning. However,
significant development of this system is not expected due to a
unfavorable dry air mass that prevails over the tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

3. A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
by late Sunday. Environmental conditions could support slow
development of this system early next week while it moves toward the
west or west-northwest over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Kimberlain


NHC Atlantic Outlook

September 6, 2014 - 6:55am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A weak area of low pressure near the coast of Georgia continues to
produce disorganized cloudiness and showers, mainly over the
Atlantic coastal waters. Development of this system appears
unlikely while it drifts northeastward over the southeastern United
States during the next couple of days. After that time, this
system could merge with a frontal zone over the western Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure a few
hundred miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has increased
and become a little better organized this morning. However,
significant development of this system is not expected due to a
unfavorable dry air mass that prevails over the tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

3. A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
by late Sunday. Environmental conditions could support slow
development of this system early next week while it moves toward the
west or west-northwest over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Kimberlain


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 6, 2014 - 6:53am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT SEP 6 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Norbert, located a short distance offshore of the Baja California
Sur.

1. An area of low pressure is expected to form south or southwest of
the southern coast of Mexico by the early or middle part of next
week. Environmental conditions in this region should be conducive
for gradual development throughout this time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Kimberlain


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 6, 2014 - 3:50am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI SEP 5 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Norbert, located a short distance offshore of the Baja California
Sur.

1. An area of low pressure is expected to form south or southwest of
the southern coast of Mexico by early next week. Environmental
conditions in this region should be conducive for gradual
development through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 6, 2014 - 12:53am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI SEP 5 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Norbert, located a short distance offshore of the Baja California
Sur.

1. An area of low pressure is expected to form south or southwest of
the southern coast of Mexico by early next week. Environmental
conditions in this region should be conducive for gradual
development through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi


NHC Atlantic Outlook

September 6, 2014 - 12:52am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A weak area of low pressure located near the coast of Georgia is
producing disorganized cloudiness and showers mainly over the
Atlantic coastal waters. Any development of this low is expected to
be slow to occur during the next few days while it drifts
northeastward close to the coast of the southeast United States.
After that time, strong upper-level winds are expected to limit the
chances of development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. An elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles
southwest of the Cape Verde Islands continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Significant development of
this system is not expected due to an unfavorable dry airmass over
the tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

3. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by
late Sunday. Environmental conditions could support slow development
of this system early next week while it moves toward the west or
west-northwest over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 5, 2014 - 9:39pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI SEP 5 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Norbert, located a short distance southwest of Baja California Sur.

1. An area of low pressure is expected to form a few hundred miles
south or southwest of the southern coast of Mexico by early next
week. Environmental conditions in this region should be conducive
for gradual development through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Blake


NHC Atlantic Outlook

September 5, 2014 - 6:50pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI SEP 5 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure located inland over southern Georgia is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms
over Florida, Georgia, and the coastal Atlantic waters. Any
development of this low is expected to be slow to occur during the
next few days while it drifts northeastward close to the coasts of
Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina. After that time,
strong upper-level winds are expected to limit the development
potential.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. An elongated area of low pressure continues to produce disorganized
cloudiness and thunderstorms southwest of the Cape Verde Islands
while it moves westward at about 15 mph. Significant development of
this system is unlikely due to an unfavorable dry airmass over the
tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

3. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by
late Sunday. Environmental conditions would appear to support some
development of this system early next week while it moves to the
west or west-northwest over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Blake/Brennan


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 5, 2014 - 6:47pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI SEP 5 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Norbert, located a short distance southwest of Baja California Sur.

1. An area of low pressure is expected to form a few hundred miles
south or southwest of the southern coast of Mexico by early next
week. Environmental conditions in this region should be conducive
for gradual development through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Blake