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National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks
Updated: 25 min 26 sec ago

NHC Atlantic Outlook

September 11, 2014 - 12:55pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The national Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
newly developed Tropical Depression Six, located several hundred
miles west of the Cape Verde Islands.

1. Shower activity associated with a low pressure area near the
northwestern Bahamas has become more concentrated today, and the
circulation of the low has become a little better defined. Some
additional development could occur before upper-level winds become
less conducive tonight. The low is expected to move generally
westward across the southern Florida Peninsula into the eastern Gulf
of Mexico during the next couple of days. Regardless of
development, this low will bring locally heavy rains to portions of
southern Florida and the Florida Keys during the next couple of
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Six are issued under WMO
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Six are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

Forecaster Beven


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 11, 2014 - 12:51pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU SEP 11 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Odile, located about 200 miles south-southwest of Lazaro
Cardenas, Mexico.

1. A low pressure system located about 800 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed little in
organization during the past few hours. However, only a slight
increase in organization would lead to the development of a tropical
depression, and advisories could still be initiated overnight or on
Thursday while the low moves northward at about 5 mph. The low is
forecast to turn eastward by Friday and could be absorbed by Odile
over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized near a broad trough
of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some development of this
system is possible during the next few days while it moves
northward and then northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

3. An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the coasts of
Guatemala and El Salvador by late in the weekend. Conditions appear
favorable for some development of this system by early next week
while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Beven


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 11, 2014 - 10:34am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU SEP 11 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Odile, located about 200 miles south-southwest of Lazaro
Cardenas, Mexico.

1. A low pressure system located about 800 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed little in
organization during the past few hours. However, only a slight
increase in organization would lead to the development of a tropical
depression, and advisories could still be initiated overnight or on
Thursday while the low moves northward at about 5 mph. The low is
forecast to turn eastward by Friday and could be absorbed by Odile
over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized near a broad trough
of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some development of this
system is possible during the next few days while it moves
northward and then northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

3. An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the coasts of
Guatemala and El Salvador by late in the weekend. Conditions appear
favorable for some development of this system by early next week
while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Beven


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 11, 2014 - 9:41am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU SEP 11 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Odile, located about 200 miles south-southwest of Lazaro
Cardenas, Mexico.

1. A low pressure system located about 800 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed little in
organization during the past few hours. However, only a slight
increase in organization would lead to the development of a tropical
depression, and advisories could still be initiated overnight or on
Thursday while the low moves northward at about 5 mph. The low is
forecast to turn eastward by Friday and could be absorbed by Odile
over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized near a broad trough
of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some development of this
system is possible during the next few days while it moves
northward and then northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

3. An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the coasts of
Guatemala and El Salvador by late in the weekend. Conditions appear
favorable for some development of this system by early next week
while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Beven


NHC Atlantic Outlook

September 11, 2014 - 9:40am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure
centered about 750 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands has become
better organized during the past several hours. If current trends
continue, a tropical depression could form later today or tonight
while the low moves toward the west-northwest and northwest at about
15 mph over the open Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Shower activity associated with a weak low pressure area near the
northwestern Bahamas is currently poorly organized, and the Air
Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter mission scheduled for today has been
canceled. Upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for
significant development while the low moves slowly westward or
west-southwestward toward southern Florida. Regardless of
development, this low will bring locally heavy rains to portions of
southern Florida and the Florida Keys during the next couple of
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Beven


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 11, 2014 - 6:53am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU SEP 11 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Odile, located about 200 miles south-southwest of Lazaro
Cardenas, Mexico.

1. A low pressure system located about 800 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed little in
organization during the past few hours. However, only a slight
increase in organization would lead to the development of a tropical
depression, and advisories could still be initiated overnight or on
Thursday while the low moves northward at about 5 mph. The low is
forecast to turn eastward by Friday and could be absorbed by Odile
over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized near a broad trough
of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some development of this
system is possible during the next few days while it moves
northward and then northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

3. An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the coasts of
Guatemala and El Salvador by late in the weekend. Conditions appear
favorable for some development of this system by early next week
while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Beven


NHC Atlantic Outlook

September 11, 2014 - 6:45am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure
centered about 750 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands has become
better organized during the past several hours. If current trends
continue, a tropical depression could form later today or tonight
while the low moves toward the west-northwest and northwest at about
15 mph over the open Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Shower activity associated with a weak low pressure area near the
northwestern Bahamas is currently poorly organized, and the Air
Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter mission scheduled for today has been
canceled. Upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for
significant development while the low moves slowly westward or
west-southwestward toward southern Florida. Regardless of
development, this low will bring locally heavy rains to portions of
southern Florida and the Florida Keys during the next couple of
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Beven


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 11, 2014 - 3:32am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED SEP 10 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Odile, located about 200 miles south-southwest of Lazaro
Cardenas, Mexico.

1. A low pressure system located about 800 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed little in
organization during the past few hours. However, only a slight
increase in organization would lead to the development of a tropical
depression, and advisories could still be initiated overnight or on
Thursday while the low moves northward at about 5 mph. The low is
forecast to turn eastward by Friday and could be absorbed by Odile
over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized near a broad trough
of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some development of this
system is possible during the next few days while it moves
northward and then northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

3. An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the coasts of
Guatemala and El Salvador by late in the weekend. Conditions appear
favorable for some development of this system by early next week
while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Odile are issued under WMO
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Odile are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

Forecaster Brennan


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 11, 2014 - 12:35am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED SEP 10 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Odile, located about 200 miles south-southwest of Lazaro
Cardenas, Mexico.

1. A low pressure system located about 800 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed little in
organization during the past few hours. However, only a slight
increase in organization would lead to the development of a tropical
depression, and advisories could still be initiated overnight or on
Thursday while the low moves northward at about 5 mph. The low is
forecast to turn eastward by Friday and could be absorbed by Odile
over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized near a broad trough
of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some development of this
system is possible during the next few days while it moves
northward and then northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

3. An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the coasts of
Guatemala and El Salvador by late in the weekend. Conditions appear
favorable for some development of this system by early next week
while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Odile are issued under WMO
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Odile are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

Forecaster Brennan


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 11, 2014 - 12:12am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED SEP 10 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Odile, located about 200 miles south-southwest of Lazaro
Cardenas, Mexico.

1. A low pressure system located about 800 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed little in
organization during the past few hours. However, only a slight
increase in organization would lead to the development of a tropical
depression, and advisories could still be initiated overnight or on
Thursday while the low moves northward at about 5 mph. The low is
forecast to turn eastward by Friday and could be absorbed by Odile
over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized near a broad trough
of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some development of this
system is possible during the next few days while it moves
northward and then northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

3. An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the coasts of
Guatemala and El Salvador by late in the weekend. Conditions appear
favorable for some development of this system by early next week
while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Odile are issued under WMO
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Odile are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

Forecaster Brennan


NHC Atlantic Outlook

September 11, 2014 - 12:10am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure
centered about 750 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands continues
to show signs of organization. Conditions are expected to become
more favorable for development, and a tropical depression could form
during the next day or two while the low moves toward the west-
northwest and northwest at about 15 mph over the open Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. Shower activity associated with a weak low pressure area near the
northwestern Bahamas has changed little in organization over the
past several hours. Upper-level winds are forecast to become
unfavorable for significant development while the low moves slowly
westward toward southern Florida. If necessary, however, an Air
Force plane will investigate the system later today. Regardless of
development, this low will bring locally heavy rains to portions of
southern Florida and the Florida Keys during the next couple of
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Pasch


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 10, 2014 - 9:42pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED SEP 10 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Odile, located about 200 miles south-southwest of Lazaro
Cardenas, Mexico.

1. Satellite images indicate that the low pressure system located about
800 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula has become a little less organized, with the center
becoming displaced to the north of the shower and thunderstorm
activity. However, only a slight increase in organization of the
system would lead to the development of a tropical depression, and
advisories could still be initiated tonight or on Thursday while the
low moves northward at about 5 mph. The low is forecast to turn
eastward by Friday and could become absorbed by Odile over the
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized near a broad trough
of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some development of this
system is possible during the next few days while it moves
northward and then northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Odile are issued under
WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Odile are issued under WMO header WTPZ25
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

Forecaster Berg


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 10, 2014 - 6:44pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED SEP 10 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Odile, located about 200 miles south-southwest of Lazaro
Cardenas, Mexico.

1. Satellite images indicate that the low pressure system located about
800 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula has become a little less organized, with the center
becoming displaced to the north of the shower and thunderstorm
activity. However, only a slight increase in organization of the
system would lead to the development of a tropical depression, and
advisories could still be initiated tonight or on Thursday while the
low moves northward at about 5 mph. The low is forecast to turn
eastward by Friday and could become absorbed by Odile over the
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized near a broad trough
of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some development of this
system is possible during the next few days while it moves
northward and then northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Odile are issued under
WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Odile are issued under WMO header WTPZ25
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

Forecaster Berg


NHC Atlantic Outlook

September 10, 2014 - 6:31pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Satellite images indicate that the shower activity associated
with a broad area of low pressure centered about 650 miles west of
the Cape Verde Islands has increased and become a little better
organized this evening. This system is now moving toward an area
more favorable for development, and a tropical depression could form
during the next day or two while the low moves toward the
west-northwest and northwest at about 15 mph over the open Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. A weak area of low pressure has formed near the northwestern
Bahamas, and its associated shower activity is showing some signs of
organization. However, the environment is forecast to become
unfavorable for significant development while the low moves slowly
westward toward southern Florida. If necessary, an Air Force plane
will investigate this system tomorrow. Regardless of development,
this low will bring heavy rains over portions of southern Florida
and the Florida Keys during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Avila


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 10, 2014 - 3:41pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED SEP 10 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
recently upgraded Tropical Storm Odile, located about 200 miles
south-southwest of Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico.

1. Satellite images indicate that a tropical depression may be
forming about 850 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula. If current trends continue, advisories
will likely be initiated on this system later today or tonight.
This system is expected to move slowly northward during the next
couple of days and then turn eastward after that.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this
system is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly
northward and then northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Odile are issued under
WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Odile are issued under WMO header WTPZ25
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

Forecaster Roberts


NHC Atlantic Outlook

September 10, 2014 - 12:47pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located
about 600 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands remains disorganized.
While tropical cyclone formation is not anticipated today,
environmental conditions could become somewhat more favorable for
development by later in the week while the low moves toward the
west-northwest and northwest at about 15 mph over the open Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. Disorganized cloudiness and showers over the Bahamas and the
adjacent Atlantic are associated with a weak surface trough
interacting with an upper-level low. Development, if any, of this
system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves generally
westward at 5 to 10 mph during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Beven


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 10, 2014 - 12:41pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED SEP 10 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
recently upgraded Tropical Storm Odile, located about 200 miles
south-southwest of Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico.

1. Satellite images indicate that a tropical depression may be
forming about 850 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula. If current trends continue, advisories
will likely be initiated on this system later today or tonight.
This system is expected to move slowly northward during the next
couple of days and then turn eastward after that.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this
system is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly
northward and then northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Odile are issued under
WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Odile are issued under WMO header WTPZ25
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

Forecaster Roberts


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 10, 2014 - 9:35am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED SEP 10 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located a couple of hundred miles
southwest of Acapulco, Mexico.

1. An area of low pressure located about 800 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is showing signs
of organization. This low could become a tropical depression
during the next day or two before upper-level winds become
unfavorable. This system is expected to move slowly northward during
the next couple of days and then turn eastward after that.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this
system is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly
northward and then northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Fifteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

Forecaster Cangialosi


NHC Atlantic Outlook

September 10, 2014 - 6:48am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure is located about 600 miles
west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, with the associated shower
and thunderstorm activity remaining disorganized. While tropical
cyclone formation is not anticipated today, environmental conditions
could become somewhat more favorable for development by later in the
week while the low moves toward the west-northwest and northwest at
about 15 mph over the open Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. Disorganized cloudiness and showers over the Bahamas and the
adjacent Atlantic are associated with a weak surface trough
interacting with an upper-level low. Development, if any, of this
system is expected to be very slow to occur while it moves generally
westward at 5 to 10 mph during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Beven


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 10, 2014 - 6:41am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED SEP 10 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located a couple of hundred miles
southwest of Acapulco, Mexico.

1. An area of low pressure located about 800 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is showing signs
of organization. This low could become a tropical depression
during the next day or two before upper-level winds become
unfavorable. This system is expected to move slowly northward during
the next couple of days and then turn eastward after that.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this
system is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly
northward and then northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Fifteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

Forecaster Cangialosi