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National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks
Updated: 28 min 45 sec ago

NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

August 25, 2014 - 3:36pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON AUG 25 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Marie, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula, and on recently downgraded
Tropical Depression Karina, located over a thousand miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg
NNNN


NHC Atlantic Outlook

August 25, 2014 - 12:52pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Cristobal, located just north of the southeastern Bahamas.

1. A tropical wave located about 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are not expected to be favorable for
significant development during the next couple of days, but could
become more conducive by the end of the week while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Stewart


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

August 25, 2014 - 12:27pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON AUG 25 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Marie, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula, and on recently downgraded
Tropical Depression Karina, located over a thousand miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg
NNNN


NHC Atlantic Outlook

August 25, 2014 - 9:56am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON AUG 25 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Cristobal, located just north of the southeastern Bahamas.

1. A tropical wave located about 1100 miles west-southwest of the Cape
Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Conditions do not appear to be favorable for development during the
next few days, but could become more conducive by the end of the
week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Stewart


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

August 25, 2014 - 9:35am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON AUG 25 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Marie, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Karina,
located over a thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg
NNNN


NHC Atlantic Outlook

August 25, 2014 - 6:46am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON AUG 25 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Cristobal, located just north of the southeastern Bahamas.

1. A tropical wave located about 1100 miles west-southwest of the Cape
Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Conditions do not appear to be favorable for development during the
next few days, but could become more conducive by the end of the
week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Stewart


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

August 25, 2014 - 6:15am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON AUG 25 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Marie, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Karina,
located over a thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg
NNNN


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

August 21, 2014 - 3:39pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east-southeast of
the Big Island of Hawaii, and on recently upgraded Hurricane Lowell,
located about 800 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located several hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco,
Mexico, have become a little better organized over the past few
hours. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and
a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or Friday while the
system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Pasch


NHC Atlantic Outlook

August 21, 2014 - 3:02pm





SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

Updated for reconnaissance information

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that the circulation associated with the small low pressure area
approaching the Leeward Islands is poorly defined. In addition, the
associated shower activity has decreased during the past few hours.
The aircraft did, however, find a small area of tropical-storm-force
winds on the northeast side of the low. Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for some development during the next
day or so, and a tropical depression or tropical storm could still
form while the system moves west-northwestward at around 20 mph
across the Lesser Antilles. The mountainous terrain of Hispaniola
could limit development during the first part of the weekend, but
conditions are expected to become more conducive for development by
Sunday when the system is forecast to move near or over the Bahamas.
Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, gusty winds and heavy
rainfall are expected across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto
Rico, and the Virgin Islands through Friday, and over Hispaniola
late Friday and Saturday. Interests in those islands and in the
Bahamas should closely monitor the progress of this disturbance. An
Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate this system again tomorrow afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Brennan/Blake


NHC Atlantic Outlook

August 21, 2014 - 12:50pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Satellite data indicate that an area of low pressure located about
275 miles east of Guadeloupe has become a little better defined
today. However, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity
remains limited and disorganized. Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for some development during the next day or
so, and a tropical depression could form while the system moves
west-northwestward at around 20 mph across the Lesser Antilles. The
mountainous terrain of Hispaniola could limit development during the
first part of the weekend, but conditions are expected to become
more conducive for development by Sunday when the system is
forecast to move near or over the Bahamas. Regardless of tropical
cyclone formation, gusty winds and heavy rainfall are possible
across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin
Islands through Friday, and over Hispaniola late Friday and
Saturday. Interests in those islands and in the Bahamas should
closely monitor the progress of this disturbance. An Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently investigating the
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Brennan


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

August 21, 2014 - 12:41pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east-southeast of
the Big Island of Hawaii, and on recently upgraded Hurricane Lowell,
located about 800 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located several hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco,
Mexico, have become a little better organized over the past few
hours. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and
a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or Friday while the
system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Pasch


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

August 21, 2014 - 9:35am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU AUG 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located about 800
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

1. Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad area
of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southeast of
Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by Friday
or Saturday while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Pasch


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

August 21, 2014 - 9:33am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU AUG 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located about 800
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

1. Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad area
of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southeast of
Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by Friday
or Saturday while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Pasch


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

August 21, 2014 - 6:44am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU AUG 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located about 800
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

1. Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad area
of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southeast of
Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by Friday
or Saturday while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Pasch


NHC Atlantic Outlook

August 21, 2014 - 6:37am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an elongated area
of low pressure located about 350 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
has changed little in organization during the past several hours.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
development during the next day or so, and a tropical depression
could form while the system moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20
mph across the Lesser Antilles and over the eastern Caribbean
Sea. The mountainous terrain of Hispaniola and eastern Cuba could
limit development during the first part of the weekend, but
conditions are expected to become more conducive for development by
early next week when the system is forecast to move near or over the
Bahamas.

1. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, gusty winds and heavy
rainfall are possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto
Rico, and the Virgin Islands tonight and Friday, and over Hispaniola
late Friday and Saturday. Interests in those islands should closely
monitor the progress of this disturbance. An Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this
afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Brennan


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

August 21, 2014 - 3:41am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED AUG 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located about 800
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located several hundred miles south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec have not become any better organized during the past
few hours. However, environmental conditions are conducive for
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by Friday
or Saturday while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Berg


NHC Atlantic Outlook

August 21, 2014 - 12:34am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area
of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of the Windward
Islands have changed little in organization during the past
several hours. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a
tropical depression could form while the system moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the Lesser Antilles and
over the eastern Caribbean Sea. The mountainous terrain of
Hispaniola and eastern Cuba could limit development during the first
part of the weekend, but conditions are expected to be conducive for
development early next week when the system is forecast to move near
or over the Bahamas.

Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, gusty winds and heavy
rainfall are possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto
Rico, and the Virgin Islands tonight and Friday, and over Hispaniola
late Friday and Saturday. Interests in those islands should closely
monitor the progress of this disturbance. An Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this
afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Brown


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

August 21, 2014 - 12:33am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED AUG 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located about 800
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located several hundred miles south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec have not become any better organized during the past
few hours. However, environmental conditions are conducive for
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by Friday
or Saturday while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Berg


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

August 20, 2014 - 9:47pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED AUG 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located near 800
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

1. A large low pressure system located several hundred miles south of
the Gulf of Tehuantepec is moving west-northwestward at about 10
mph. Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in coverage and
organization during the past several hours, and environmental
conditions are becoming more conducive for a tropical depression to
form during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Stewart


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

August 20, 2014 - 9:44pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED AUG 20 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east of the Big
Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located near 800
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

1. A large low pressure system located several hundred miles south of
the Gulf of Tehuantepec is moving west-northwestward at about 10
mph. Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in coverage and
organization during the past several hours, and environmental
conditions are becoming more conducive for a tropical depression to
form during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Stewart