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National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks
Updated: 12 min 47 sec ago

NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

October 2, 2014 - 12:30am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Nineteen-E, located about one hundred miles southwest
of Manzanillo, Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Nineteen-E are issued under WMO header
WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories
are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NNNN


NHC Atlantic Outlook

October 2, 2014 - 12:29am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A non-tropical low pressure system located about 350 miles
south-southeast of Halifax, Nova Scotia, continues to produce
gale-force winds and disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This
low is unlikely to acquire tropical cyclone characteristics due to
unfavorable environmental conditions. Little motion of this system
is expected during the next couple of days while it interacts with
an upper-level low and an approaching cold front. For additional
information on this system, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. A small area of low pressure located about 750 miles east-northeast
of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This
low is moving rapidly toward the north-northeast and it is expected
to be over cold water tonight or Friday, which should end the
chances of tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

Forecaster Cangialosi


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

October 1, 2014 - 9:31pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Nineteen-E, located a little over a hundred
miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Nineteen-E are issued under WMO header
WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories
are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Blake
NNNN


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

October 1, 2014 - 6:41pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Nineteen-E, located a little over a hundred
miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Nineteen-E are issued under WMO header
WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories
are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Blake
NNNN


NHC Atlantic Outlook

October 1, 2014 - 6:38pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A non-tropical gale located about 350 miles south-southeast of
Halifax, Nova Scotia, is producing shower and thunderstorm activity
northeast of the center. Environmental conditions are expected to
remain unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation while this system
interacts with an upper-level low and a surface front during the
next couple of days. For additional information on this system,
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. A small area of low pressure located about 700 miles east-northeast
of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Significant development of this system is not expected while it
remains over marginally warm waters through Thursday. This low is
moving rapidly toward the northeast and is expected to move over
much colder waters by Friday, ending its chance of development as a
tropical cyclone.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

Forecaster Blake


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

October 1, 2014 - 3:34pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Satellite imagery indicates that shower and thunderstorm activity
associated with an area of low pressure located about 150 miles
south of Manzanillo, Mexico, has become better organized during the
past few hours. In addition, satellite data indicate that the
low-level circulation has become better defined this morning.
A tropical depression is expected to form later today or Thursday
while the system moves toward the west-northwest at around 10 mph.
Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, this disturbance will
likely produce locally heavy rains over coastal portions of southern
Mexico that could cause flash flooding and mud slides during the
next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Brennan


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

October 1, 2014 - 12:38pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Satellite imagery indicates that shower and thunderstorm activity
associated with an area of low pressure located about 150 miles
south of Manzanillo, Mexico, has become better organized during the
past few hours. In addition, satellite data indicate that the
low-level circulation has become better defined this morning.
A tropical depression is expected to form later today or Thursday
while the system moves toward the west-northwest at around 10 mph.
Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, this disturbance will
likely produce locally heavy rains over coastal portions of southern
Mexico that could cause flash flooding and mud slides during the
next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Brennan


NHC Atlantic Outlook

October 1, 2014 - 12:33pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A non-tropical gale located about 375 miles south-southeast of
Halifax, Nova Scotia, is producing shower and thunderstorm activity
northeast of the center. Environmental conditions are expected to
remain unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation while this system
interacts with an upper-level low and a surface front during the
next couple of days. For additional information on this system,
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

Forecaster Brennan


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

October 1, 2014 - 6:44am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased a little in
association with an elongated area of low pressure located a couple
hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental
conditions are favorable for a tropical depression to form later
today or Thursday while the system moves toward the west-northwest
or northwest near 10 mph. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation,
this disturbance will likely produce locally heavy rains over
portions of southern Mexico that could cause flash flooding and mud
slides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Brennan


NHC Atlantic Outlook

October 1, 2014 - 6:40am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg
NNNN


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

October 1, 2014 - 12:06am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. An elongated area of low pressure a few hundred miles south of the
southern coast of Mexico has recently shown little change in
organization. Environmental conditions conditions are favorable for
a tropical depression to form later today or Thursday while the
system moves toward the west-northwest or northwest near 10 mph.
Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, this disturbance will
likely produce locally heavy rains over portions of southern
Mexico that could cause flash flooding and mud slides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Beven


NHC Atlantic Outlook

October 1, 2014 - 12:01am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven
NNNN


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 30, 2014 - 11:30pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Rachel, located several hundred miles west
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. An elongated area of low pressure a few hundred miles south of the
southern coast of Mexico has shown little change in organization
during the past several hours. Environmental conditions conditions
are favorable for a tropical depression to form tomorrow or Thursday
while the system moves toward the west-northwest or northwest near
10 mph. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, this disturbance
will likely produce locally heavy rains over portions of southern
Mexico that could cause flash flooding and mud slides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Beven


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 30, 2014 - 6:28pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Rachel, located several hundred miles west
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. An elongated area of low pressure a few hundred miles south of the
southern coast of Mexico has shown little change in organization
during the past several hours. Environmental conditions conditions
are favorable for a tropical depression to form tomorrow or Thursday
while the system moves toward the west-northwest or northwest near
10 mph. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, this disturbance
will likely produce locally heavy rains over portions of southern
Mexico that could cause flash flooding and mud slides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Beven


NHC Atlantic Outlook

September 30, 2014 - 6:15pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven

NNNN


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 30, 2014 - 3:58pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. An elongated area of low pressure continues a few hundred
miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Although the shower
activity has changed little in organization during the past several
hours, environmental conditions are favorable for a tropical
depression to form tomorrow or Thursday while the system moves
toward the west-northwest or northwest near 10 mph. Regardless of
tropical cyclone formation, this disturbance will likely produce
locally heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico that could
cause flash flooding and mud slides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Avila


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 30, 2014 - 12:33pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. An elongated area of low pressure continues a few hundred
miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Although the shower
activity has changed little in organization during the past several
hours, environmental conditions are favorable for a tropical
depression to form tomorrow or Thursday while the system moves
toward the west-northwest or northwest near 10 mph. Regardless of
tropical cyclone formation, this disturbance will likely produce
locally heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico that could
cause flash flooding and mud slides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Avila


NHC Atlantic Outlook

September 30, 2014 - 12:32pm





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Avila
NNNN


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 30, 2014 - 9:51am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.

1. An elongated area of low pressure continues a few hundred
miles south of Acapulco, Mexico. Although the shower activity has
changed little in organization during the past several hours,
environmental conditions are favorable for a tropical depression
to form later this week while the system moves toward the
west-northwest or northwest near 10 mph. Regardless of tropical
cyclone formation, this disturbance will likely produce locally
heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico that could cause flash
flooding and mud slides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Avila


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

September 30, 2014 - 6:38am





TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.

1. An elongated area of low pressure continues a few hundred
miles south of Acapulco, Mexico. Although the shower activity has
changed little in organization during the past several hours,
environmental conditions are favorable for a tropical depression
to form later this week while the system moves toward the
west-northwest or northwest near 10 mph. Regardless of tropical
cyclone formation, this disturbance will likely produce locally
heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico that could cause flash
flooding and mud slides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Avila