POSTED: Friday, July 22, 2011 - 12:33am
UPDATED: Friday, July 22, 2011 - 3:30pm
STORMTRACKER 33 — The Atlantic basin has certainly come to life over the past week or so. Currently there are two active systems spinning out to sea. Tropical Depression Bret, and Tropical Storm Cindy remain harmless "fish storms". There is a new area the National Hurricane Center is tracking for possible development. It is located to the east of the Lesser Antilles, and they are giving it a 20% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours. Most of the models are not being aggressive with this system, many of them don't develop it at all. We will still track the status of this tropical wave as it makes its way westward toward the Caribbean islands. Although it seems like we are very active at this point, it's only going to pick up even more as we make our way into August and September, which are historically the most active months. Check the graphic below, it shows the distribution of tropical systems and how they increase as we move toward the peak and also slightly after the peak.