Stocks decline after mixed economic data

Stocks decline after mixed economic data
Photo by Emmanuel Tambakakis/CNN.

POSTED: Thursday, May 3, 2012 - 12:30pm

UPDATED: Thursday, May 3, 2012 - 12:32pm

U.S. stocks dipped Thursday, as investors dissected conflicting economic data ahead of Friday's all-important jobs report.

The day started on an optimistic note, as a decline in weekly jobless claims lifted hopes ahead of the April jobs reading, due Friday morning.

But shortly after the opening bell, investors were hit with a weaker-than-expected reading on the U.S. service sector, which includes the retail, construction, financial services, health care and hotel industries. The Institute of Supply Management's Service index showed that the service sector had the slowest expansion of the year in April.

The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 25 points, or 0.2%, the S&P 500 slipped 4 points, or 0.3%, and the Nasdaq fell 8 points, or 0.3%.

"It's all about jobs right now," said Kim Forrest, senior equity analyst at Fort Pitt Capital Group. "The better-than-expected jobless claims number gave the market some hope for tomorrow, but the ISM Service index took that hope away."

While the monthly jobs number is always highly anticipated by market participants, the readings for April and May will be especially important for predicting the Federal Reserve's next steps, said Forrest. Its Operation Twist, which swaps short-term bonds on its balance sheet for longer-term securities, expires in June.

"The Federal Reserve will look at the April and May jobs number very closely to decide whether it needs to take further action or can sit back and do nothing," Forrest said. "Part of the reason we've seen a small pullback in stocks recently is because it's still unclear what the Fed will do in June."

Economists surveyed by CNNMoney expect the Labor Department's data to show 160,000 jobs added in April. While that's an improvement from March's weak growth, the pace is still slow compared to job gains in December, January and February -- each of which exceeded 200,000.

If the upcoming reports continue to trend negative, "that would throw a pebble in the Fed's decision basket for taking some action," Forrest said.

But anything that shows even modest improvement would allow the central bank to stay put, despite cries for a third round of long-term debt buying, known as quantitative easing, or QE3.

U.S. stocks ended mixed Wednesday as investors digested the weak ADP report and mostly upbeat corporate results.

World markets: European Central Bank officials voted Thursday to hold interest rates steady, even as the euro-area economy slides toward recession. But ECB president Mario Draghi appeared to hint that there could be rate cuts in the future.

European stocks finished mixed following Draghi's comments. Britain's FTSE 100 ticked up 0.2%, the DAX in Germany slipped 0.2% and France's CAC 40 lost 0.1%.

Asian markets ended mixed. The Shanghai Composite edged up just less than 0.1%, while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong slid 0.3%. Tokyo was closed for a holiday.

Economy: Initial jobless claims for the week ended April 28 totaled 365,000, according to the Labor Department, which was less than expected.

Jobless claims were forecast to total 375,000, according to a survey of economists by Briefing.com -- an improvement from the revised figure of 392,000 in the week prior.

The Institute of Supply Management's Service index pulled back to 53.5 in April, from 56 in March and below analyst expectations. While a reading above 50 indicates growth, April's figure represented the slowest expansion in non-manufacturing activity since December.

Companies: Investors also continued to sort through a deluge of first-quarter corporate results.

Prudential Financial's 8% tumble made it the worst-performing stock on the S&P 500. Late Wednesday, the company posted a first-quarter loss of almost $1 billion.

Shares of General Motors fell more than 2% after the automaker reported strong first-quarter earnings on good results in its domestic market, but took a hit on its bottom line from rising losses and special charges in Europe.

Green Mountain Coffee Roasters was the biggest loser on the Nasdaq, as shares plummeted more than 40%. The company reported quarterly revenue that missed estimates and lowered its guidance for 2012

Shares of online reviews site Yelp slipped after the company reported a net loss of $9.8 million, or 31 cents per share, for the first quarter of 2012 -- its first as a publicly traded company. Yelp is in the process of investing in international expansion.

Coming after the bell on Thursday, AIG, Kraft and LinkedIn are due to report results.

Private equity firm The Carlyle Group priced its IPO Wednesday evening at $22 per unit, which was lower than its proposed $23 to $25 per unit range. Shares rose slightly when they began trading Thursday on the Nasdaq under ticker symbol CG.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar slipped against the euro, but was higher versus the British pound and the Japanese yen.

Oil for June delivery fell $1.04 to $104.18 a barrel.

Gold futures for June delivery dropped $13.20 to $1,641.90 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury edged lower, pushing the yield up to 1.95% from 1.92% late Wednesday.

Are you worried about how the 2012 presidential election will impact your investment portfolio? Which candidate do you think will be better for the stock market? E-mail Hibah.Yousuf@turner.com for the chance to be included in an upcoming story.

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