National polls indicate dead heat in Obama-Romney battle

National polls indicate dead heat in Obama-Romney battle

POSTED: Tuesday, October 9, 2012 - 4:00pm

UPDATED: Tuesday, October 9, 2012 - 4:04pm

Three new national polls of likely voters released in the past 24 hours indicate the race for the White House is all knotted up and suggest that Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney got a bounce out of last Wednesday's first presidential debate.

According to a CNN Poll of Polls that averages all three non-partisan, live operator surveys, Romney has the support of 48 percent of likely voters, with President Barack Obama at 47 percent. While the CNN Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error, the margin is well within the sampling error of the three surveys averaged into the CNN Poll of Polls.

The surveys are the Pew Research Center, which was conducted October 4-7 (entirely after the debate), American Research Group, which was conducted October 5-8 (entirely after the debate), and the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll, which was conducted October 2-8 (partially before and mostly after the debate).

The Gallup daily tracking poll indicated Romney at 49 percent and Obama 47 percent among likely voters.
This is Gallup's first release of a tracking poll of likely voters, so no comparison can be made to pre-debate surveys from Gallup.

The ARG poll indicates the former Massachusetts governor at 48 percent, with Obama at 47 percent. According to ARG's previous poll, conducted Sept. 27-30, the president was at 49 percent and Romney at 46 percent.

The Pew Poll indicates Romney with a 49 percent-45 percent advantage over Obama. In Pew's previous survey, conducted in mid-September, the president had a 51 percent-43 percent lead among likely voters.

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